Regime intelligence · April 2026
Market regime detected.
Six regimes govern every cycle. Know which one you are in — and what to do about it.
MarkupCurrent regime
Active regime
▲ Markup
Price accelerates on rising volume.
Recommended: Hold
Gold behaviour
Breaks resistance with momentum.
Silver behaviour
Outperforms gold on leverage.
Characteristics
Rising volumeHigher highsMedia interestRetail FOMO begins
Regime history
Last six transitions.
Accumulation3 months
Oct 2024
Markup4 months
Jan 2025
Distribution2 months
May 2025
Markdown3 months
Jul 2025
Consolidation4 months
Oct 2025
MarkupOngoing
Feb 2026
The six regimes
Know every regime. Act accordingly.
◎Buy
Accumulation
Smart money quietly builds positions.
AuFlat range, low volatility.
AgUnderperforms, ignored by retail.
▲Hold
Markup
Price accelerates on rising volume.
AuBreaks resistance with momentum.
AgOutperforms gold on leverage.
Active now
◆Reduce
Distribution
Smart money exits into retail demand.
AuVolatile swings near all-time highs.
AgExtreme spikes then reversals.
▼Hedge
Markdown
Sustained decline with capitulation.
AuBreaks supports, tests 200-day MA.
AgFalls 2x faster than gold.
═Wait
Consolidation
Sideways chop, direction undecided.
AuBuilds base for next move.
AgTight range, low conviction.
⚡Buy gold
Crisis
Black swan event forces repricing.
AuSafe-haven bid, sharp rally.
AgInitial drop, then catches bid.
Regime classification is algorithmic and based on price action, volume, and sentiment indicators. Not financial advice. Past regime behaviour does not guarantee future outcomes.